Some of my thoughts on finance, geopolitics and investing.
I dive into Tesla's current vehicle business constraints, the impact of federal interest rates on EV demand, and why the company's multi-trillion dollar valuation hinges on solving unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) and scaling the Cyber Cab network.
An analysis of the S&P 500 printing its first "Death Cross" (where the 50-day moving average drops below the 200-day moving average) triggered by recent trade war uncertainties. I look back at historical data from 2018, 2020, and 2022 to evaluate how reliable this pattern is as a selling indicator and discuss my strategy for long-term investing during fire sales.
A macroeconomic breakdown of the "America First" tariff policies and their immediate effect on global markets. I discuss the escalating trade war with China, the bond market sell-off, what the inverted 10-2 Treasury yield curve signals for a potential recession, and how investors should navigate the extreme volatility.